Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 109.165784 121.076581 133.360090 146.947070 161.527103 176.675808 193.577682
2024-10-13 90.141048 107.677371 126.719372 148.813365 173.621731 200.499270 231.698689
2024-10-20 73.243340 94.119810 117.945045 146.848993 180.660131 218.660207 264.286907
2024-10-27 60.559194 83.534864 111.027517 145.779601 187.949127 236.883936 297.356525
2024-11-03 53.243559 78.308708 109.591153 150.561427 201.832889 262.916372 340.176068
2024-11-10 46.684960 73.082688 107.381396 153.810474 213.566790 286.451217 380.536803
2024-11-17 41.546177 68.998328 106.030401 157.687743 225.855486 310.726618 422.230814
2024-11-24 37.565406 65.961725 105.624227 162.478773 239.193001 336.442640 466.171827
2024-12-01 31.083647 58.421430 98.234291 157.156082 238.720408 344.251632 487.448514
2024-12-08 26.475849 53.091309 93.396515 154.810534 241.794142 356.380571 514.188644
2024-12-15 23.472842 49.908660 91.356421 156.131520 249.688656 374.818830 549.294045
2024-12-22 21.104345 47.459952 90.155973 158.460796 258.887393 395.049476 587.011522
2024-12-29 19.692995 46.581268 91.424137 164.641747 273.952369 423.890778 637.252475
2025-01-05 17.899016 44.776282 91.045323 168.262783 285.429290 448.112352 681.864340
2025-01-12 15.446170 41.362329 87.699916 167.039055 289.699029 462.394355 713.271626
2025-01-19 13.405884 38.434637 84.884977 166.403929 294.690507 477.678281 746.235307
2025-01-26 12.519646 37.773056 85.942257 171.997117 309.145856 506.584529 798.432312
2025-02-02 11.468095 36.586366 85.932986 175.772359 320.864937 531.750901 845.793964
2025-02-09 10.602532 35.677594 86.326279 180.163372 333.565730 558.480806 895.666215
2025-02-16 9.926605 35.108878 87.290750 185.514846 347.851950 587.724289 949.477311
2025-02-23 8.128302 31.435617 81.952478 179.682840 344.237824 590.601142 965.869111
2025-03-02 6.890900 28.921559 78.627255 177.116225 345.625201 600.745264 992.643522
2025-03-09 6.150725 27.610090 77.615842 178.588011 353.515967 620.654047 1033.682397